{"id":34573,"date":"2025-03-10T17:37:49","date_gmt":"2025-03-10T09:37:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.yunshan.net\/blog\/?p=34573"},"modified":"2025-03-10T17:37:49","modified_gmt":"2025-03-10T09:37:49","slug":"%e5%8f%af%e8%a7%82%e6%b5%8b%e6%80%a7%e5%b9%b3%e5%8f%b0%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e5%ae%9e%e7%8e%b0%e5%8a%a8%e6%80%81%e9%98%88%e5%80%bc%e8%ae%be%e7%bd%ae%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.yunshan.net\/blog\/archives\/34573.html","title":{"rendered":"\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u6027\u5e73\u53f0\u5982\u4f55\u5b9e\u73b0\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u8bbe\u7f6e\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\">\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.yunshan.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/2QyS8.jpg\" alt=\"\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u6027\u5e73\u53f0\u5982\u4f55\u5b9e\u73b0\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u8bbe\u7f6e\uff1f\" ><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u524d\u8a00<\/strong><br \/>\n\u5728\u6570\u5b57\u5316\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8fd0\u7ef4\u4e2d\uff0c\u76d1\u63a7\u544a\u8b66\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u6545\u969c\u54cd\u5e94\u6548\u7387\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u9759\u6001\u9608\u503c\u544a\u8b66\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u65e5\u76ca\u51f8\u663e\uff1a\u56fa\u5b9a\u6570\u503c\u65e0\u6cd5\u9002\u5e94\u4e1a\u52a1\u6d41\u91cf\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u8bef\u62a5\u548c\u6f0f\u62a5\u9891\u53d1\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd0\u7ef4\u56e2\u961f\u5728\u201c\u72fc\u6765\u4e86\u201d\u7684\u8b66\u62a5\u75b2\u52b3\u4e2d\u9010\u6e10\u5931\u53bb\u654f\u611f\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u8ba9\u544a\u8b66\u66f4\u667a\u80fd\uff1f<strong>\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c<\/strong>\u6280\u672f\u5e94\u8fd0\u800c\u751f\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u901a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u65f6\u5206\u6790\u7cfb\u7edf\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u81ea\u52a8\u8c03\u6574\u544a\u8b66\u89e6\u53d1\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u8ba9<a href=\"https:\/\/www.yunshan.net\/\"   target=\"_blank\" style=\"color:blue\">\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u6027\u5e73\u53f0<\/a>\u4ece\u201c\u88ab\u52a8\u54cd\u5e94\u201d\u8d70\u5411\u201c\u4e3b\u52a8\u9884\u6d4b\u201d\u3002\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u6df1\u5165\u89e3\u6790\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\u903b\u8f91\u3001\u6280\u672f\u6311\u6218\u4e0e\u6700\u4f73\u5b9e\u8df5\u3002<\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3 id=\"\u4e00-\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u9700\u8981\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\"><strong>\u4e00\u3001\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u9700\u8981\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\uff1f<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u9759\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u95ee\u9898\u662f<strong>\u7f3a\u4e4f\u573a\u666f\u9002\u914d\u80fd\u529b<\/strong>\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7535\u5546\u5e73\u53f0\u5728\u4fc3\u9500\u671f\u95f4\u6d41\u91cf\u53ef\u80fd\u6fc0\u589e10\u500d\uff0c\u82e5\u4ecd\u6cbf\u7528\u65e5\u5e38\u6d41\u91cf\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u5fc5\u7136\u89e6\u53d1\u5927\u91cf\u8bef\u62a5\uff1b\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u82e5\u624b\u52a8\u8c03\u6574\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u5219\u9700\u4f9d\u8d56\u8fd0\u7ef4\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u6548\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u4e14\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u9519\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>\u9002\u5e94\u4e1a\u52a1\u6ce2\u52a8<\/strong>\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u65f6\u95f4\u5468\u671f\uff08\u5982\u5de5\u4f5c\u65e5\/\u5468\u672b\uff09\u3001\u4e1a\u52a1\u6d3b\u52a8\uff08\u5982\u79d2\u6740\u3001\u7248\u672c\u53d1\u5e03\uff09\u81ea\u52a8\u8c03\u6574\u57fa\u7ebf\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u964d\u4f4e\u8bef\u62a5\u7387<\/strong>\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u7b97\u6cd5\u8bc6\u522b\u5f02\u5e38\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4f9d\u8d56\u56fa\u5b9a\u9608\u503c\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u51cf\u8f7b\u8fd0\u7ef4\u8d1f\u62c5<\/strong>\uff1a\u51cf\u5c11\u4eba\u5de5\u5e72\u9884\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u544a\u8b66\u7cbe\u51c6\u5ea6\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><em>\u4ee5\u67d0\u91d1\u878d\u652f\u4ed8\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u5176\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u5728\u6708\u521d\u548c\u6708\u672b\u76f8\u5dee3\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u91c7\u7528\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u540e\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u6708\u521d\u81ea\u52a8\u8c03\u9ad8\u57fa\u7ebf\uff0c\u6708\u672b\u56de\u5f52\u6b63\u5e38\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u544a\u8b66\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u63d0\u534765%\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3 id=\"\u4e8c-\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\u539f\u7406\"><strong>\u4e8c\u3001\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\u539f\u7406<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6280\u672f\u662f<strong>\u57fa\u7ebf\u5efa\u6a21<\/strong>\u4e0e<strong>\u5f02\u5e38\u68c0\u6d4b<\/strong>\u7684\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u73b0\u53ef\u5206\u4e3a\u4e09\u6b65\uff1a<\/p>\n<h4 id=\"1-\u6570\u636e\u91c7\u96c6\u4e0e\u7279\u5f81\u63d0\u53d6\"><strong>1. \u6570\u636e\u91c7\u96c6\u4e0e\u7279\u5f81\u63d0\u53d6<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.yunshan.net\/\"   target=\"_blank\" style=\"color:blue\">\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u6027\u5e73\u53f0<\/a>\u9700\u5b9e\u65f6\u91c7\u96c6\u6307\u6807\u6570\u636e\uff08\u5982CPU\u4f7f\u7528\u7387\u3001\u8bf7\u6c42\u5ef6\u8fdf\u3001\u9519\u8bef\u7387\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u901a\u8fc7\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790\u63d0\u53d6\u7279\u5f81\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u5468\u671f\u6027\u7279\u5f81<\/strong>\uff1a\u8bc6\u522b\u65e5\u3001\u5468\u3001\u6708\u7b49\u5468\u671f\u6027\u89c4\u5f8b\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u7279\u5f81<\/strong>\uff1a\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6807\u957f\u671f\u589e\u957f\u6216\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u7279\u5f81<\/strong>\uff1a\u8ba1\u7b97\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u3001\u65b9\u5dee\u7b49\u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf\uff0c\u91cf\u5316\u6570\u636e\u6ce2\u52a8\u8303\u56f4\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u67d0\u89c6\u9891\u5e73\u53f0\u7684\u6d41\u91cf\u5448\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u7684\u201c\u665a\u9ad8\u5cf0\u201d\u7279\u6027\uff0c\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u6a21\u578b\u4f1a\u81ea\u52a8\u5b66\u4e60\u8fd9\u4e00\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5728\u665a8\u70b9\u81f310\u70b9\u653e\u5bbd\u9608\u503c\u533a\u95f4\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n<h4 id=\"2-\u57fa\u7ebf\u5efa\u6a21\u7b97\u6cd5\u9009\u62e9\"><strong>2. \u57fa\u7ebf\u5efa\u6a21\u7b97\u6cd5\u9009\u62e9<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u5e38\u7528\u7b97\u6cd5\u5305\u62ec\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff08Simple Moving Average\uff09\uff1a\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u573a\u666f\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff08Exponential Smoothing\uff09\uff1a\u8d4b\u4e88\u8fd1\u671f\u6570\u636e\u66f4\u9ad8\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u54cd\u5e94\u901f\u5ea6\u66f4\u5feb\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b<\/strong>\uff1a\u5982Prophet\u3001LSTM\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u53ef\u5904\u7406\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u3001\u591a\u5468\u671f\u590d\u6742\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\uff0c\u591a\u6570\u5e73\u53f0\u91c7\u7528\u201c\u8f7b\u91cf\u7ea7\u7edf\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b+\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u515c\u5e95\u201d\u7684\u6df7\u5408\u67b6\u6784\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5bf9CPU\u4f7f\u7528\u7387\u7b49\u9ad8\u9891\u6307\u6807\u4f7f\u7528\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e1a\u52a1\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u7b49\u590d\u6742\u6307\u6807\u8c03\u7528LSTM\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n<h4 id=\"3-\u52a8\u6001\u8c03\u6574\u4e0e\u5f02\u5e38\u5224\u5b9a\"><strong>3. \u52a8\u6001\u8c03\u6574\u4e0e\u5f02\u5e38\u5224\u5b9a<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u57fa\u7ebf\u6a21\u578b\u8f93\u51fa\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u540e\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u4f1a\u6839\u636e\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\uff08\u598295%\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff09\u751f\u6210\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u9650\u3002\u5f53\u5b9e\u9645\u6307\u6807\u7a81\u7834\u8be5\u533a\u95f4\u65f6\uff0c\u89e6\u53d1\u544a\u8b66\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u533a\u95f4\u8ba1\u7b97<\/strong>\uff1a\u9608\u503c = \u9884\u6d4b\u503c \u00b1 \uff08\u6ce2\u52a8\u7cfb\u6570 \u00d7 \u6807\u51c6\u5dee\uff09\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u7075\u654f\u5ea6\u8c03\u8282<\/strong>\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u8c03\u6574\u6ce2\u52a8\u7cfb\u6570\u63a7\u5236\u544a\u8b66\u4e25\u683c\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u4e0d\u540cSLA\u8981\u6c42\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr>\n<h3 id=\"\u4e09-\u6280\u672f\u6311\u6218\u4e0e\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\"><strong>\u4e09\u3001\u6280\u672f\u6311\u6218\u4e0e\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4 id=\"\u6311\u62181-\u6570\u636e\u566a\u58f0\u5e72\u6270\"><strong>\u6311\u62181\uff1a\u6570\u636e\u566a\u58f0\u5e72\u6270<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u76d1\u63a7\u6570\u636e\u5e38\u5305\u542b\u566a\u58f0\uff08\u5982\u77ac\u65f6\u6296\u52a8\u3001\u91c7\u96c6\u8bef\u5dee\uff09\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u5efa\u6a21\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u57fa\u7ebf\u5931\u771f\u3002<br \/>\n<strong>\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848<\/strong>\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u6570\u636e\u9884\u5904\u7406<\/strong>\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528\u6ed1\u52a8\u7a97\u53e3\u6ee4\u6ce2\u3001\u79bb\u7fa4\u503c\u5254\u9664\uff08\u5982Z-Score\u7b97\u6cd5\uff09\u6e05\u6d17\u6570\u636e\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u591a\u6307\u6807\u5173\u8054\u5206\u6790<\/strong>\uff1a\u7ed3\u5408\u5173\u8054\u6307\u6807\uff08\u5982\u8bf7\u6c42\u91cf\u4e0e\u9519\u8bef\u7387\uff09\u4ea4\u53c9\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u8bef\u5224\u6982\u7387\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 id=\"\u6311\u62182-\u51b7\u542f\u52a8\u95ee\u9898\"><strong>\u6311\u62182\uff1a\u51b7\u542f\u52a8\u95ee\u9898<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u65b0\u4e0a\u7ebf\u7cfb\u7edf\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u96be\u4ee5\u5efa\u7acb\u6709\u6548\u57fa\u7ebf\u3002<br \/>\n<strong>\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848<\/strong>\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u8fc1\u79fb\u5b66\u4e60<\/strong>\uff1a\u501f\u7528\u76f8\u4f3c\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u521d\u59cb\u5316\u6a21\u578b\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u52a8\u6001\u5b66\u4e60\u7387<\/strong>\uff1a\u5728\u521d\u59cb\u9636\u6bb5\u9ad8\u9891\u66f4\u65b0\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u52a0\u901f\u6536\u655b\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 id=\"\u6311\u62183-\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\u5f00\u9500\"><strong>\u6311\u62183\uff1a\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\u5f00\u9500<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u5b9e\u65f6\u8ba1\u7b97\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u5bf9\u5e73\u53f0\u7b97\u529b\u8981\u6c42\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u5ef6\u8fdf\u3002<br \/>\n<strong>\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848<\/strong>\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u8fb9\u7f18\u8ba1\u7b97<\/strong>\uff1a\u5728\u6570\u636e\u91c7\u96c6\u7aef\u8fdb\u884c\u8f7b\u91cf\u7ea7\u8ba1\u7b97\uff08\u5982\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\uff09\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u5206\u5c42\u5904\u7406<\/strong>\uff1a\u5bf9\u6838\u5fc3\u6307\u6807\u5b9e\u65f6\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u975e\u5173\u952e\u6307\u6807\u964d\u7ea7\u4e3a\u5b9a\u65f6\u6279\u5904\u7406\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr>\n<h3 id=\"\u56db-\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u5b9e\u8df5\"><strong>\u56db\u3001\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u5b9e\u8df5<\/strong><\/h3>\n<h4 id=\"1-\u5206\u573a\u666f\u5236\u5b9a\u7b56\u7565\"><strong>1. \u5206\u573a\u666f\u5236\u5b9a\u7b56\u7565<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u6838\u5fc3\u4e1a\u52a1\u6307\u6807<\/strong>\uff1a\u91c7\u7528\u4fdd\u5b88\u7b56\u7565\uff08\u7a84\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\uff09\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u9ad8\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\u544a\u8b66\u4e0d\u6f0f\u62a5\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u8d44\u6e90\u7c7b\u6307\u6807<\/strong>\uff08\u5982\u78c1\u76d8\u5bb9\u91cf\uff09\uff1a\u8bbe\u7f6e\u8d8b\u52bf\u9884\u6d4b\u544a\u8b66\uff0c\u63d0\u524d\u9884\u8b66\u6f5c\u5728\u98ce\u9669\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u957f\u5c3e\u6307\u6807<\/strong>\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528\u65e0\u76d1\u7763\u805a\u7c7b\uff0c\u81ea\u52a8\u5f52\u5e76\u76f8\u4f3c\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u914d\u7f6e\u6210\u672c\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 id=\"2-\u7ed3\u5408\u4eba\u5de5\u53cd\u9988\u4f18\u5316\u6a21\u578b\"><strong>2. \u7ed3\u5408\u4eba\u5de5\u53cd\u9988\u4f18\u5316\u6a21\u578b<\/strong><\/h4>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u8bef\u62a5\u6807\u6ce8<\/strong>\uff1a\u8fd0\u7ef4\u4eba\u5458\u6807\u8bb0\u8bef\u62a5\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u53cd\u5411\u8bad\u7ec3\u6a21\u578b\u8c03\u6574\u53c2\u6570\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u9608\u503c\u6f02\u79fb\u68c0\u6d4b<\/strong>\uff1a\u5f53\u57fa\u7ebf\u6301\u7eed\u504f\u79bb\u5b9e\u9645\u503c\uff08\u5982\u4e1a\u52a1\u6a21\u5f0f\u7a81\u53d8\uff09\uff0c\u89e6\u53d1\u6a21\u578b\u91cd\u65b0\u8bad\u7ec3\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4 id=\"3-\u4e0eaiops\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d41\u8054\u52a8\"><strong>3. \u4e0eAIOps\u5de5\u4f5c\u6d41\u8054\u52a8<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u544a\u8b66\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u66f4\u5e94\u878d\u5165\u667a\u80fd\u8fd0\u7ef4\u94fe\u6761\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.yunshan.net\/\"   target=\"_blank\" style=\"color:blue\">\u6839\u56e0\u5206\u6790<\/a><\/strong>\uff1a\u544a\u8b66\u89e6\u53d1\u540e\uff0c\u81ea\u52a8\u5173\u8054\u65e5\u5fd7\u3001\u94fe\u8def\u8ffd\u8e2a\u6570\u636e\u5b9a\u4f4d\u95ee\u9898\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u81ea\u6108\u673a\u5236<\/strong>\uff1a\u5bf9\u5df2\u77e5\u7c7b\u578b\u6545\u969c\uff08\u5982\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u8fde\u63a5\u6c60\u8017\u5c3d\uff09\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u6267\u884c\u6269\u5bb9\u811a\u672c\u3002\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>\u67d0\u4e91\u670d\u52a1\u5546\u901a\u8fc7\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u4e0e\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u811a\u672c\u8054\u52a8\uff0c\u5c06\u78c1\u76d8\u6ee1\u544a\u8b66\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u4fee\u590d\u65f6\u95f4\uff08MTTR\uff09\u4ece30\u5206\u949f\u7f29\u77ed\u81f35\u5206\u949f\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n<hr>\n<h3 id=\"\u4e94-\u672a\u6765\u5c55\u671b\"><strong>\u4e94\u3001\u672a\u6765\u5c55\u671b<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>\u968f\u7740<strong>\u591a\u6a21\u6001\u6570\u636e\u878d\u5408<\/strong>\uff08\u6307\u6807\u3001\u65e5\u5fd7\u3001\u94fe\u8def\u8ffd\u8e2a\uff09\u4e0e<strong>\u5f3a\u5316\u5b66\u4e60<\/strong>\u6280\u672f\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u573a\u666f\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5c55\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u544a\u8b66<\/strong>\uff1a\u63d0\u524d\u8bc6\u522b\u6f5c\u5728\u6545\u969c\uff08\u5982\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u67651\u5c0f\u65f6\u5185\u5b58\u6ea2\u51fa\uff09\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u4e1a\u52a1\u5f71\u54cd\u5206\u6790<\/strong>\uff1a\u91cf\u5316\u6307\u6807\u5f02\u5e38\u5bf9\u8425\u6536\u3001\u7528\u6237\u4f53\u9a8c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8f85\u52a9\u51b3\u7b56\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\uff1b\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u81ea\u9002\u5e94\u9608\u503c<\/strong>\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u6545\u969c\u5904\u7406\u6548\u679c\u81ea\u52a8\u4f18\u5316\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u95ed\u73af\u8fed\u4ee3\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u524d\u8a00 \u5728\u6570\u5b57\u5316\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8fd0\u7ef4\u4e2d\uff0c\u76d1\u63a7\u544a\u8b66\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u6545\u969c\u54cd\u5e94\u6548\u7387\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u9759\u6001\u9608\u503c\u544a\u8b66\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u65e5\u76ca\u51f8\u663e\uff1a\u56fa\u5b9a\u6570\u503c\u65e0\u6cd5\u9002\u5e94\u4e1a\u52a1\u6d41\u91cf\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u8bef\u62a5\u548c\u6f0f\u62a5\u9891\u53d1\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8fd0\u7ef4\u56e2\u961f\u5728\u201c\u72fc\u6765\u4e86\u201d\u7684\u8b66\u62a5\u75b2\u52b3\u4e2d\u9010\u6e10\u5931\u53bb\u654f\u611f\u3002\u5982\u4f55\u8ba9\u544a\u8b66\u66f4\u667a\u80fd\uff1f\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u6280\u672f\u5e94\u8fd0\u800c\u751f\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u901a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u65f6\u5206\u6790\u7cfb\u7edf\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u81ea\u52a8\u8c03\u6574\u544a\u8b66\u89e6\u53d1\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u8ba9\u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u6027\u5e73\u53f0\u4ece\u201c\u88ab\u52a8\u54cd\u5e94\u201d\u8d70\u5411\u201c\u4e3b\u52a8\u9884\u6d4b\u201d\u3002\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u6df1\u5165\u89e3\u6790\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\u903b\u8f91\u3001\u6280\u672f\u6311\u6218\u4e0e\u6700\u4f73\u5b9e\u8df5\u3002 \u4e00\u3001\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u9700\u8981\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\uff1f \u9759\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u7f3a\u4e4f\u573a\u666f\u9002\u914d\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7535\u5546\u5e73\u53f0\u5728\u4fc3\u9500\u671f\u95f4\u6d41\u91cf\u53ef\u80fd\u6fc0\u589e10\u500d\uff0c\u82e5\u4ecd\u6cbf\u7528\u65e5\u5e38\u6d41\u91cf\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u5fc5\u7136\u89e6\u53d1\u5927\u91cf\u8bef\u62a5\uff1b\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u82e5\u624b\u52a8\u8c03\u6574\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u5219\u9700\u4f9d\u8d56\u8fd0\u7ef4\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u6548\u7387\u4f4e\u4e0b\u4e14\u5bb9\u6613\u51fa\u9519\u3002 \u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a \u9002\u5e94\u4e1a\u52a1\u6ce2\u52a8\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u65f6\u95f4\u5468\u671f\uff08\u5982\u5de5\u4f5c\u65e5\/\u5468\u672b\uff09\u3001\u4e1a\u52a1\u6d3b\u52a8\uff08\u5982\u79d2\u6740\u3001\u7248\u672c\u53d1\u5e03\uff09\u81ea\u52a8\u8c03\u6574\u57fa\u7ebf\uff1b \u964d\u4f4e\u8bef\u62a5\u7387\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u7b97\u6cd5\u8bc6\u522b\u5f02\u5e38\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4f9d\u8d56\u56fa\u5b9a\u9608\u503c\uff1b \u51cf\u8f7b\u8fd0\u7ef4\u8d1f\u62c5\uff1a\u51cf\u5c11\u4eba\u5de5\u5e72\u9884\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u544a\u8b66\u7cbe\u51c6\u5ea6\u3002 \u4ee5\u67d0\u91d1\u878d\u652f\u4ed8\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u5176\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u5728\u6708\u521d\u548c\u6708\u672b\u76f8\u5dee3\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u91c7\u7528\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u540e\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u6708\u521d\u81ea\u52a8\u8c03\u9ad8\u57fa\u7ebf\uff0c\u6708\u672b\u56de\u5f52\u6b63\u5e38\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u544a\u8b66\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u63d0\u534765%\u3002 \u4e8c\u3001\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\u539f\u7406 \u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u6280\u672f\u662f\u57fa\u7ebf\u5efa\u6a21\u4e0e\u5f02\u5e38\u68c0\u6d4b\u7684\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u73b0\u53ef\u5206\u4e3a\u4e09\u6b65\uff1a 1. \u6570\u636e\u91c7\u96c6\u4e0e\u7279\u5f81\u63d0\u53d6 \u53ef\u89c2\u6d4b\u6027\u5e73\u53f0\u9700\u5b9e\u65f6\u91c7\u96c6\u6307\u6807\u6570\u636e\uff08\u5982CPU\u4f7f\u7528\u7387\u3001\u8bf7\u6c42\u5ef6\u8fdf\u3001\u9519\u8bef\u7387\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u901a\u8fc7\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u6790\u63d0\u53d6\u7279\u5f81\uff1a \u5468\u671f\u6027\u7279\u5f81\uff1a\u8bc6\u522b\u65e5\u3001\u5468\u3001\u6708\u7b49\u5468\u671f\u6027\u89c4\u5f8b\uff1b \u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u7279\u5f81\uff1a\u5224\u65ad\u6307\u6807\u957f\u671f\u589e\u957f\u6216\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b \u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u7279\u5f81\uff1a\u8ba1\u7b97\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u3001\u65b9\u5dee\u7b49\u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf\uff0c\u91cf\u5316\u6570\u636e\u6ce2\u52a8\u8303\u56f4\u3002 \u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u67d0\u89c6\u9891\u5e73\u53f0\u7684\u6d41\u91cf\u5448\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u7684\u201c\u665a\u9ad8\u5cf0\u201d\u7279\u6027\uff0c\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u6a21\u578b\u4f1a\u81ea\u52a8\u5b66\u4e60\u8fd9\u4e00\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5728\u665a8\u70b9\u81f310\u70b9\u653e\u5bbd\u9608\u503c\u533a\u95f4\u3002 2. \u57fa\u7ebf\u5efa\u6a21\u7b97\u6cd5\u9009\u62e9 \u5e38\u7528\u7b97\u6cd5\u5305\u62ec\uff1a \u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u6cd5\uff08Simple Moving Average\uff09\uff1a\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u8f83\u5c0f\u7684\u573a\u666f\uff1b \u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\uff08Exponential Smoothing\uff09\uff1a\u8d4b\u4e88\u8fd1\u671f\u6570\u636e\u66f4\u9ad8\u6743\u91cd\uff0c\u54cd\u5e94\u901f\u5ea6\u66f4\u5feb\uff1b \u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b\uff1a\u5982Prophet\u3001LSTM\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u53ef\u5904\u7406\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u3001\u591a\u5468\u671f\u590d\u6742\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002 \u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\uff0c\u591a\u6570\u5e73\u53f0\u91c7\u7528\u201c\u8f7b\u91cf\u7ea7\u7edf\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b+\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u515c\u5e95\u201d\u7684\u6df7\u5408\u67b6\u6784\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5bf9CPU\u4f7f\u7528\u7387\u7b49\u9ad8\u9891\u6307\u6807\u4f7f\u7528\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e1a\u52a1\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u7b49\u590d\u6742\u6307\u6807\u8c03\u7528LSTM\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u3002 3. \u52a8\u6001\u8c03\u6574\u4e0e\u5f02\u5e38\u5224\u5b9a \u57fa\u7ebf\u6a21\u578b\u8f93\u51fa\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u540e\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u4f1a\u6839\u636e\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\uff08\u598295%\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff09\u751f\u6210\u52a8\u6001\u9608\u503c\u4e0a\u4e0b\u9650\u3002\u5f53\u5b9e\u9645\u6307\u6807\u7a81\u7834\u8be5\u533a\u95f4\u65f6\uff0c\u89e6\u53d1\u544a\u8b66\u3002 \u533a\u95f4\u8ba1\u7b97\uff1a\u9608\u503c = \u9884\u6d4b\u503c \u00b1 \uff08\u6ce2\u52a8\u7cfb\u6570 \u00d7 \u6807\u51c6\u5dee\uff09\uff1b \u7075\u654f\u5ea6\u8c03\u8282\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u8c03\u6574\u6ce2\u52a8\u7cfb\u6570\u63a7\u5236\u544a\u8b66\u4e25\u683c\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u4e0d\u540cSLA\u8981\u6c42\u3002 \u4e09\u3001\u6280\u672f\u6311\u6218\u4e0e\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848 \u6311\u62181\uff1a\u6570\u636e\u566a\u58f0\u5e72\u6270 \u76d1\u63a7\u6570\u636e\u5e38\u5305\u542b\u566a\u58f0\uff08\u5982\u77ac\u65f6\u6296\u52a8\u3001\u91c7\u96c6\u8bef\u5dee\uff09\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u5efa\u6a21\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u57fa\u7ebf\u5931\u771f\u3002 \u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff1a \u6570\u636e\u9884\u5904\u7406\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528\u6ed1\u52a8\u7a97\u53e3\u6ee4\u6ce2\u3001\u79bb\u7fa4\u503c\u5254\u9664\uff08\u5982Z-Score\u7b97\u6cd5\uff09\u6e05\u6d17\u6570\u636e\uff1b \u591a\u6307\u6807\u5173\u8054\u5206\u6790\uff1a\u7ed3\u5408\u5173\u8054\u6307\u6807\uff08\u5982\u8bf7\u6c42\u91cf\u4e0e\u9519\u8bef\u7387\uff09\u4ea4\u53c9\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u964d\u4f4e\u8bef\u5224\u6982\u7387\u3002 \u6311\u62182\uff1a\u51b7\u542f\u52a8\u95ee\u9898 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