{"id":34745,"date":"2025-03-11T14:40:20","date_gmt":"2025-03-11T06:40:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.yunshan.net\/blog\/?p=34745"},"modified":"2025-03-11T14:40:20","modified_gmt":"2025-03-11T06:40:20","slug":"%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e5%88%a9%e7%94%a8%e7%bb%9f%e8%ae%a1%e6%96%b9%e6%b3%95%e6%8f%90%e9%ab%98%e6%95%85%e9%9a%9c%e6%a0%b9%e5%9b%a0%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e7%9a%84%e5%87%86%e7%a1%ae%e6%80%a7%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.yunshan.net\/blog\/archives\/34745.html","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\u63d0\u9ad8\u6545\u969c\u6839\u56e0\u5206\u6790\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\n

\"\u5982\u4f55\u5229\u7528\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\u63d0\u9ad8\u6545\u969c\u6839\u56e0\u5206\u6790\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\uff1f\"<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\n

\u5728\u6570\u5b57\u5316\u6d6a\u6f6e\u5e2d\u5377\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u8fd0\u7ef4\u56e2\u961f\u6bcf\u5929\u9700\u8981\u5904\u7406\u6570\u4ee5\u4e07\u8ba1\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u544a\u8b66\u3002\u5f53\u670d\u52a1\u5668\u7a81\u7136\u5b95\u673a\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u6d41\u91cf\u5f02\u5e38\u6fc0\u589e\u6216\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u54cd\u5e94\u5ef6\u8fdf\u65f6\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u4ece\u6d77\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5feb\u901f\u9501\u5b9a\u95ee\u9898\u6839\u6e90<\/strong>\uff0c\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u51b3\u5b9a\u8fd0\u7ef4\u6548\u7387\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u6392\u67e5\u5982\u540c\u5927\u6d77\u635e\u9488\uff0c\u800c\u5f15\u5165\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u5c06\u8fd9\u573a\u201c\u6545\u969c\u730e\u6355\u201d\u5347\u7ea7\u4e3a\u7cbe\u51c6\u7684\u201c\u5916\u79d1\u624b\u672f\u201d\u3002\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u63ed\u793a\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u5982\u4f55\u8d4b\u80fd\u6545\u969c\u8bca\u65ad\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u53ef\u91cf\u5316\u7684\u6839\u56e0\u5206\u6790<\/a>\u6846\u67b6\u3002<\/p>\n

\n

\u4e00\u3001\u6570\u636e\u8ff7\u96fe\u4e2d\u7684\u5bfc\u822a\u4eea\uff1a\u7edf\u8ba1\u5efa\u6a21\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u91cd\u6784<\/h3>\n

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\u5173\u952e\u6b65\u9aa4\u89e3\u6790<\/strong>\uff1a<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. \u6570\u636e\u6807\u51c6\u5316\u5904\u7406<\/strong>\uff1a\u5c06\u4e0d\u540c\u7ef4\u5ea6\u7684CPU\u4f7f\u7528\u7387\u3001\u5185\u5b58\u5360\u7528\u7b49\u6307\u6807\u8f6c\u6362\u4e3aZ-Score\uff0c\u6d88\u9664\u91cf\u7eb2\u5dee\u5f02\n<\/li>\n
  2. \u591a\u7ef4\u65f6\u5e8f\u5bf9\u9f50<\/strong>\uff1a\u8fd0\u7528\u52a8\u6001\u65f6\u95f4\u89c4\u6574\uff08DTW\uff09\u7b97\u6cd5\u5339\u914d\u4e0d\u540c\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u65e5\u5fd7\u65f6\u95f4\u6233\n<\/li>\n
  3. \u5173\u8054\u5173\u7cfb\u7b5b\u9009<\/strong>\uff1a\u91c7\u7528\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u7f51\u7edc\u6784\u5efa\u6545\u969c\u4f20\u64ad\u8def\u5f84\u6982\u7387\u56fe\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
    \n

    \u4e8c\u3001\u4ece\u7ecf\u9a8c\u76f4\u89c9\u5230\u6570\u5b66\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff1a\u5047\u8bbe\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u5b9e\u6218\u8f6c\u578b<\/h3>\n

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    \u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u5347\u7ea7\u8def\u5f84<\/strong>\uff1a<\/p>\n

      \n
    • \u786e\u5b9a\u539f\u5047\u8bbe\u4e0e\u5907\u62e9\u5047\u8bbe<\/strong>\uff08\u5982H\u2080: \u6545\u969c\u65f6\u6bb5\u7684CPU\u8d1f\u8f7d\u2264\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u5e73\uff09\n<\/li>\n
    • \u9009\u62e9\u68c0\u9a8c\u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf<\/strong>\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u6570\u636e\u5206\u5e03\u7279\u6027\u91c7\u7528\u53c2\u6570\u68c0\u9a8c\u6216\u975e\u53c2\u6570\u68c0\u9a8c\n<\/li>\n
    • \u8bbe\u7f6e\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u03b1<\/strong>\uff1a\u901a\u5e38\u53d60.05\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5224\u65ad\u4e34\u754c\u503c\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
      \n

      \u4e09\u3001\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u7ef4\u62a4\u7684\u65b0\u5f15\u64ce\uff1a\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u4e0e\u7edf\u8ba1\u7684\u878d\u5408\u521b\u65b0<\/h3>\n

      \u5728\u5de5\u4e1a\u7269\u8054\u7f51\u573a\u666f\u4e2d\uff0c\u751f\u5b58\u5206\u6790\uff08Survival Analysis\uff09<\/strong>\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4e49\u8bbe\u5907\u5065\u5eb7\u7ba1\u7406\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf910\u4e07\u53f0\u4f20\u611f\u56683\u5e74\u7684\u8fd0\u884c\u6570\u636e\u5efa\u6a21\uff0c\u79d1\u514b\u65af\u6bd4\u4f8b\u98ce\u9669\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u8bbe\u5907\u5728\u672a\u676530\u5929\u53d1\u751f\u6545\u969c\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002\u5f53\u98ce\u9669\u503c\u8d85\u8fc7\u9884\u8bbe\u9608\u503c\u65f6\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u81ea\u52a8\u89e6\u53d1\u5907\u4ef6\u66f4\u6362\u6d41\u7a0b\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u5e72\u9884<\/strong>\u4f7f\u67d0\u5236\u9020\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u5916\u505c\u673a\u51cf\u5c11\u4e8642%\u3002<\/p>\n

      \u878d\u5408\u6280\u672f\u77e9\u9635<\/strong>\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      \u4f20\u7edf\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5<\/th>\n\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u589e\u5f3a<\/th>\n\u5e94\u7528\u573a\u666f\u6848\u4f8b<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
      \u4e3b\u6210\u5206\u5206\u6790<\/td>\n\u81ea\u7f16\u7801\u5668\u964d\u7ef4<\/td>\n\u538b\u7f292000\u7ef4\u76d1\u63a7\u6307\u6807\u81f3\u6838\u5fc33\u7ef4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790<\/td>\nXGBoost\u7279\u5f81\u5de5\u7a0b<\/td>\n\u8bc6\u522b\u5f71\u54cd\u670d\u52a1\u53ef\u7528\u6027\u7684Top5\u56e0\u7d20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      \u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u5206\u89e3<\/td>\nLSTM\u5f02\u5e38\u68c0\u6d4b<\/td>\n\u63d0\u524d2\u5c0f\u65f6\u9884\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u8fc7\u8f7d<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
      \n

      \u56db\u3001\u907f\u514d\u7edf\u8ba1\u9677\u9631\uff1a\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u843d\u5730\u7684\u4e09\u5927\u94c1\u5f8b<\/h3>\n
        \n
      1. \n

        \u8b66\u60d5\u8f9b\u666e\u68ee\u6096\u8bba<\/strong>
        \n\u67d0CDN\u670d\u52a1\u5546\u53d1\u73b0\u8282\u70b9\u6545\u969c\u7387\u4e0e\u8d1f\u8f7d\u5448\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\uff08r=-0.15\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u5206\u5c42\u5206\u6790\u663e\u793a\uff1a\u5728\u534e\u4e1c\u3001\u534e\u5317\u533a\u57df\u5355\u72ec\u8ba1\u7b97\u65f6\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u5206\u522b\u53d8\u4e3a+0.27\u548c+0.33\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u7fa4\u4f53\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u5b50\u96c6\u6570\u636e\u7684\u77db\u76fe\u8b66\u793a\u6211\u4eec\uff1a\u5fc5\u987b\u8fdb\u884c\u7ef4\u5ea6\u4e0b\u94bb\u9a8c\u8bc1<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      2. \n

        \u63a7\u5236\u8bef\u62a5\u96ea\u5d29<\/strong>
        \n\u5f53\u540c\u65f6\u8fdb\u884c1000\u6b21\u5047\u8bbe\u68c0\u9a8c\u4e14\u03b1=0.05\u65f6\uff0c\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f50\u6b21\u8bef\u62a5\u3002\u91c7\u7528Bonferroni\u6821\u6b63<\/strong>\u6216FDR\uff08\u9519\u8bef\u53d1\u73b0\u7387\uff09\u63a7\u5236<\/strong>\uff0c\u53ef\u5c06\u6709\u6548\u544a\u8b66\u8bc6\u522b\u7387\u63d0\u5347\u81f392%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

      3. \n

        \u52a8\u6001\u66f4\u65b0\u57fa\u7ebf<\/strong>
        \n\u67d0\u4e91\u670d\u52a1\u5546\u6bcf\u6708\u7528KS\u68c0\u9a8c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u5f53\u524d\u7cfb\u7edf\u6307\u6807\u5206\u5e03\u4e0e\u5386\u53f2\u57fa\u7ebf\uff0c\u5f53p\u503c<0>\u81ea\u9002\u5e94\u673a\u5236<\/strong>\u4f7f\u6545\u969c\u68c0\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u7387\u59cb\u7ec8\u4fdd\u6301\u572889%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

        \n

        \u4e94\u3001\u4ece\u5de5\u5177\u5230\u6587\u5316\uff1a\u6784\u5efa\u6570\u636e\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u8fd0\u7ef4\u751f\u6001<\/h3>\n

        \u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u6210\u529f\u5e94\u7528\u9700\u8981\u7a81\u7834\u6280\u672f\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u3002\u67d0\u8de8\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u901a\u8fc7\u6545\u969c\u5206\u6790\u6c99\u76d8\u6f14\u7ec3<\/strong>\uff0c\u8ba9\u8fd0\u7ef4\u4eba\u5458\u7528A\/B\u6d4b\u8bd5\u601d\u7ef4\u9a8c\u8bc1\u731c\u60f3\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u5bb6\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u516c\u53f8\u5efa\u7acb\u6839\u56e0\u77e5\u8bc6\u56fe\u8c31<\/strong>\uff0c\u5c06\u5386\u53f2\u8bca\u65ad\u7ed3\u679c\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u5148\u9a8c\u6982\u7387\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5b9e\u8df5\u8868\u660e\uff1a\u5f53\u7edf\u8ba1\u601d\u7ef4\u6e17\u900f\u5230\u7ec4\u7ec7\u8840\u6db2\u4e2d\u65f6<\/strong>\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u6545\u969c\u90fd\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u4f18\u5316\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u73cd\u8d35\u71c3\u6599\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u80fd\u529b\u5efa\u8bbe\u8def\u7ebf\u56fe<\/strong>\uff1a<\/p>\n

          \n
        • \u9636\u6bb51\uff1a\u5efa\u7acb\u6307\u6807\u57cb\u70b9\u89c4\u8303\u4e0e\u6570\u636e\u8d28\u91cf\u76d1\u63a7\u4f53\u7cfb\n<\/li>\n
        • \u9636\u6bb52\uff1a\u5f00\u53d1\u4ea4\u4e92\u5f0f\u7edf\u8ba1\u5206\u6790\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u81ea\u52a9\u5f0f\u6570\u636e\u63a2\u7d22\n<\/li>\n
        • \u9636\u6bb53\uff1a\u6784\u5efa\u6545\u969c\u6839\u56e0\u63a8\u8350\u5f15\u64ce\uff0c\u8f93\u51fa\u52a0\u6743\u8bca\u65ad\u5047\u8bbe\u5217\u8868\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
          \n

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